The Prediction on Beijing Rail Transit Passenger Capacity Based on Grey GM (1,1)

Research Area: Volume 7,Issue 6,Nov.,2018 Year: 2018
Type of Publication: Article Keywords: Rail Transit, Passenger Capacity Prediction, Grey GM 1,1 Model, Moving Average
Authors:
  • Yiming Sun
Journal: IJEIR Volume: 7
Number: 6 Pages: 278-280
Month: November
ISSN: 2277-5668
Abstract:
– In the last few years, Chinese rail transit develops rapidly and the passenger capacity is the basement of the rail transit scheme, design and operation so that pressing ahead the passenger capacity prediction plays a significant and critical role. In accordance with the Beijing rail transit passenger volume data from 2008 to 2016, the paper preprocesses the statistics by moving average, launches the grey GM (1,1) prediction model and then judge the model to be high accuracy, practical and reliable through the mean relative error, mean square error ratio, little probability error.

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