Prediction of Railway Passenger Traffic Volume based on Grey BP Neural Network

Research Area: Volume 8,Issue 2,Mar.,2019 Year: 2019
Type of Publication: Article Keywords: Railway Passenger Flow, Passenger Volume Prediction, Grey BP Neural Network Model, Nonlinear Series, Combination Model
  • Yiming Sun
Journal: IJEIR Volume: 8
Number: 2 Pages: 97-104
Month: March
ISSN: 2277-5668
Railway passenger volume is an important basis for railway operation organization. Predicting railway passenger volume plays a key role in overall construction planning of railway. In order to make a better plan for future railway construction in China, improve the utilization ratio of railway and development of national economy, this paper combines the gray prediction model with the BP neural network model to predict railway passenger volume. Make preliminary prediction based on the railway passenger volume from 2008 to 2016 by using the gray prediction model, consider the continuity of passenger transportation demand, the data of next two years are combined and input into BP neural network for prediction, then obtain the railway passenger volume of the corresponding year, and the average relative error of the predicted results is 0.74%. The example proves that the prediction accuracy and speed of the grey BP neural network combination model are higher than that of the single gray prediction model, it is an effective nonlinear railway passenger volume prediction method and can assist the railway overall planning.

Indexed By:

Our Journals

International Journal of Electronics Communication and Computer Engineering
ISSN(Online): 2249 - 071X
ISSN (Print) : 2278 – 4209
Submissions open
International Journal of Agriculture Innovations and Research
ISSN(Online) : 2319 – 1473
Submissions open
International Journal of Innovation in Science and Mathematics
ISSN : 2347 – 9051
Submissions open
International Journal of Engineering Innovations and Research
ISSN(Online) : 2277 – 5668
Submissions are open.

International Journal of Artificial Intelligence and Mechatronics
ISSN(Online) : 2320 – 5121
Submissions open
International Journal of Research in Agricultural Sciences
ISSN(Online) : 2348 – 3997
Submissions open

Submission Open

"Submissions Open For Volume 10,Issue 5,Sept. - Oct. 2021"

Click here to submit article.........

Latest Updates

Submissions open

Submissions open


"Volume 10,Issue 5,Sept. - Oct. 2021"

Published Papers

Accepted Papers are published in

1. Recently Published Issue.

"Volume 10, Issue 4, July - Aug. 2021"


Dear Authors

Once author receives paper id, please always mention it in subject of your mail.

"Submissions Open"

Message for Authors